Map Reveals US States Where Deaths Outnumber Births
Summary
Seventeen U.S. states had more deaths than births between July 2024 and July 2025, according to new Census data. This rise in natural population decline is linked to lower birth rates and an aging population, while migration helps some states grow.Key Facts
- The U.S. fertility rate is below the replacement level of 2.1 children per woman.
- Between July 2024 and July 2025, 17 states had more deaths than births, up from only 4 states during most of the 2010s.
- States with the largest natural population decreases include Pennsylvania, West Virginia, Maine, and Michigan.
- Many states with population decline are in the Northeast and Appalachia, where people tend to be older.
- Rising costs of housing, childcare, inflation, and job insecurity contribute to fewer births.
- Texas, California, New York, Georgia, and Utah saw the biggest natural population increases.
- Migration – both from other U.S. states and from other countries – is helping some states like Florida grow despite having more deaths than births.
- Experts say attracting new residents will become more important for states facing natural population declines to support their economies.
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