Trump's Pre-Midterm Approval Rating Compared to Biden, Obama and Bush
Summary
President Donald Trump’s approval rating before the upcoming midterm elections is lower than that of recent presidents like Joe Biden, Barack Obama, and George W. Bush at similar points in their terms. Polls from Quinnipiac University and the Pew Research Center show Trump's approval near historic lows for this stage of a presidency, which could affect his party’s chances in the November elections.Key Facts
- President Trump’s approval rating in July 2026 is about 32-34%, with around 58% disapproving.
- This approval level is lower than President Biden’s (40% approval in 2022) and President Obama’s (40-44% in 2010 and 2014) at similar times before midterms.
- George W. Bush had much higher approval (up to 67%) shortly after 9/11 in 2002, helping Republicans keep or gain seats.
- Historically, presidents with low approval before midterms tend to see their party lose seats in Congress.
- Republicans currently hold the House with 220 seats versus Democrats’ 215, and have a Senate majority with 53 seats.
- Democrats hope Trump's low approval, tied to concerns about inflation and gas prices, will help them win more seats.
- Some Republicans want the midterms to focus on opposition to progressive policies within the Democratic Party.
- Polls consistently show Democrats have low favorability, presenting challenges for both parties.
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