Darline Graham's Chances of Beating Ralph Norman: Final South Carolina Poll
Summary
Senator Darline Graham leads a special Republican primary in South Carolina to replace her late brother Lindsey Graham. Multiple polls and prediction markets show her ahead of her main rivals, Representative Ralph Norman and others, but she has not yet secured enough votes to win outright.Key Facts
- Darline Graham was appointed to fill her brother Lindsey Graham’s Senate seat after he died in July.
- She is currently leading in polls, with around 26-30% support in the final surveys before the August 11 primary.
- Ralph Norman and Russell Fry are the main competitors, with Norman generally polling second.
- The special primary has a large field of candidates, making it unlikely for any to get more than 50% in the first round.
- Prediction markets give Graham the best chance to win or advance to a runoff election.
- Graham received an endorsement from President Donald Trump during the campaign.
- Ten Republicans are competing in this special primary to take the Senate seat.
- The special primary is needed to replace Lindsey Graham, who died unexpectedly from an aortic tear in July 2024.
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