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Dan Sullivan Within Striking Distance of Mary Peltola in Alaska Senate Race

Dan Sullivan Within Striking Distance of Mary Peltola in Alaska Senate Race

Summary

Republican Senator Dan Sullivan is very close to Democrat Mary Peltola in the 2026 Alaska Senate race, according to a new poll. Alaska uses ranked choice voting, and recent surveys show a tight race with neither candidate having a clear lead.

Key Facts

  • Senator Dan Sullivan is a Republican running for re-election, first elected in 2015.
  • Mary Peltola, a Democrat, previously served Alaska’s at-large congressional district from 2022 to 2025.
  • Alaska uses ranked choice voting, where voters rank candidates and lower-ranked candidates are eliminated until one wins more than 50%.
  • A recent poll showed Peltola at 50.8% and Sullivan at 49.2% in the final round of ranked choice voting, within the margin of error.
  • Another poll showed Sullivan slightly ahead in the initial round with 47% and Peltola at 45%.
  • Alaska is usually a solid Republican state but Democrats see a chance to win due to Peltola’s strong performance and changing voter trends.
  • Political analysts classify the race as a toss-up, meaning it's very competitive with no clear favorite.
  • President Donald Trump won Alaska by 13 points in 2024, but Peltola performed well against this backdrop.
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