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Flanagan's Chances of Losing to Michele Tafoya in Minnesota Senate Race

Flanagan's Chances of Losing to Michele Tafoya in Minnesota Senate Race

Summary

Democratic Lieutenant Governor Peggy Flanagan and Republican Michele Tafoya won their primaries for the Minnesota Senate race. Polls and experts show Flanagan currently has an advantage for the general election in a state that typically votes Democratic.

Key Facts

  • Peggy Flanagan won the Democratic primary with about 59% of the vote.
  • Michele Tafoya won the Republican primary with about 53% of the vote.
  • Flanagan is seen as a progressive Democrat with endorsements from Bernie Sanders and Ilhan Omar.
  • Polls show Flanagan leading Tafoya by 6 to 7 points in the general election.
  • Minnesota tends to vote Democratic and has a large voter base in the Twin Cities metro area.
  • Experts say Democrats have an advantage due to anti-Trump sentiment and metro voter turnout.
  • Prediction markets estimate a 93-94% chance of a Democratic win in the Senate race.
  • Forecasters like Cook Political Report label the race as "Likely Democratic."
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