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GOP Dealt Two Double-Digit Polling Blows in North Carolina Senate Race

GOP Dealt Two Double-Digit Polling Blows in North Carolina Senate Race

Summary

Two recent polls show Democratic former Governor Roy Cooper with a double-digit lead over Republican Michael Whatley in the 2026 North Carolina Senate race. This race is seen as very competitive, with Democrats hoping to win the seat for the first time since 2008, while North Carolina remains an important battleground state.

Key Facts

  • Roy Cooper, a Democrat and former North Carolina governor, leads Michael Whatley, a Republican, by more than 10 points in recent polls.
  • A Carolina Journal poll showed Cooper ahead by 12.5 points (51.5% to 39%).
  • An Elon University poll showed Cooper up by 11 points (53% to 42%).
  • Cooper is particularly popular among independent voters, leading them 49% to 22%.
  • Most North Carolina voters disapprove of President Trump’s job performance according to the Carolina Journal poll.
  • Other recent polls from Fox News and The New York Times also show Cooper leading by 7 to 9 points.
  • Prediction markets give Cooper about a 91% chance of winning the Senate seat.
  • North Carolina has voted Republican in federal elections recently, but sometimes elects Democrats as governor. The last Democratic Senate win was in 2008.
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