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Lula holds slim lead over Flavio Bolsonaro ahead of Brazil election

Lula holds slim lead over Flavio Bolsonaro ahead of Brazil election

Summary

Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva leads right-wing Senator Flavio Bolsonaro by a small margin in polls ahead of October’s presidential election. Lula has about 43% support in a run-off scenario, while Bolsonaro has 40%, making the race very close.

Key Facts

  • Lula is the current President of Brazil and is running for re-election.
  • Flavio Bolsonaro is the leading right-wing candidate and son of former President Jair Bolsonaro.
  • Jair Bolsonaro is banned from running due to abuse of power and a conviction related to the 2022 election.
  • A poll by Quaest surveyed 2,004 people from August 10-13 and showed Lula leading by 3 points in a run-off.
  • In the first round poll, Lula has 38% support, Bolsonaro 31%, with other candidates far behind.
  • Lula warns against foreign interference in Brazil’s elections and wants to protect Brazil’s minerals from foreign control.
  • President Donald Trump has close ties with the Bolsonaro family, and Lula has asked Trump not to interfere.
  • Brazilian election rules require a run-off if no candidate wins more than half the vote in the first round.
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