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China Wants Trump to Roll Out the Red Carpet—and Roll Over

China Wants Trump to Roll Out the Red Carpet—and Roll Over

Summary

Chinese President Xi Jinping will visit the U.S. in late September for a state visit, his first in 11 years. China plans to encourage President Donald Trump to manage U.S.-China relations through direct leader-to-leader talks, a strategy known as “summitry,” which China uses to avoid detailed discussions on difficult topics.

Key Facts

  • Xi Jinping’s state visit to the U.S. starts on September 24, 2024.
  • China prefers managing relations with the U.S. through “top-down,” leader-led talks rather than detailed bureaucratic negotiations.
  • U.S. President Trump is open to direct leader-level engagement, which China sees as an opportunity.
  • A recent U.S. delegation to China noted that China uses “summitry” to avoid answering tough questions on trade, technology, sanctions, and military tensions.
  • The term “constructive strategic stability” refers to the goal of steady relations agreed upon during President Trump’s visit to China in May 2024.
  • Chinese officials admit some long-term problems (“structural contradictions”) between the two countries are unlikely to be resolved soon.
  • The U.S.–China Economic and Security Review Commission conducted its first fact-finding trip to China in seven years, reflecting rising tensions in the relationship.
  • Summit talks may serve as a way for China to control the public message while continuing its current policies.
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