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America’s Housing Shortage Just Got Worse

America’s Housing Shortage Just Got Worse

Summary

New home construction in the U.S. dropped for the fourth month in a row in July, hitting the lowest level since November 2022. Rising mortgage rates and high home prices are causing fewer buyers to purchase homes, leading to more unsold houses despite a big shortage of affordable homes.

Key Facts

  • Single-family housing starts dropped 9.9% in July to 808,000 units per year, the lowest in over three and a half years.
  • Total new home starts, including apartments, fell 12.4% to 1.239 million units annualized.
  • The average 30-year fixed mortgage rate increased from 5.98% in February to 6.67% in mid-August 2024.
  • The national median home price in July was $434,100, a 2% increase from the previous year.
  • Contract signings for existing homes fell 2.3% in July, reaching the lowest point since January.
  • Existing home sales decreased 1.7% month-to-month in July but rose slightly year-over-year by 0.7%.
  • Homebuilders face a paradox: the U.S. needs more affordable homes, but there is a growing amount of unsold homes due to reduced demand.
  • The housing shortage started after the 2008 recession when homebuilding collapsed and has since grown to about 3 million homes short.
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