This year's El Nino set to be strongest in more than a century, UK forecasters say
Summary
This year's El Nino weather event is expected to be the strongest in more than 100 years, with sea temperatures in the tropical Pacific rising more than three degrees above normal. This unusual heat will likely cause severe droughts in South America and the West Pacific and may impact global food supplies and weather patterns, including increased storms in the UK.Key Facts
- El Nino happens when sea temperatures in the tropical eastern Pacific rise at least 0.5°C above average.
- The UK Met Office forecasts this event to exceed three degrees above average, which is unprecedented in modern records.
- The warming is already about 2.6°C above the long-term average.
- Strong droughts are expected in South America and parts of the West Pacific.
- The event will affect global weather over a long period, not just short-term changes.
- Increased rainfall and storms are expected in the UK around November.
- The event can seriously affect food security worldwide due to disrupted weather and farming conditions.
- Indonesia is trying cloud seeding to reduce the impact of wildfires linked to the dry conditions caused by El Nino.
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