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Key inflation gauge remains elevated during Iran war and ongoing US trade fights

Key inflation gauge remains elevated during Iran war and ongoing US trade fights

Summary

Inflation in the United States stayed high in July, with prices about 3.7% higher than a year before, well above the Federal Reserve's 2% goal. Rising costs are linked to the ongoing war in Iran, higher gas prices, President Donald Trump's threats of new tariffs, and spending on technology like AI.

Key Facts

  • Inflation was 3.7% higher in July 2025 compared to July 2024.
  • Inflation increased since the Iran war started in February 2025, when it was 2.9%.
  • The Federal Reserve aims to keep inflation near 2%.
  • Gas prices rose due to the Iran war, contributing to higher overall prices.
  • President Donald Trump has threatened new tariffs on Canada and China.
  • Spending on AI technology has raised costs of computers, gaming consoles, and semiconductors.
  • Core inflation (excluding food and energy) stayed at 3.3% in July.
  • The Federal Reserve is divided on whether to raise interest rates to control inflation, with a key speech from Fed Chair Kevin Warsh expected soon.
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