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Tom Tiffany’s Chances of Beating David Crowley to Flip Wisconsin—Polls

Tom Tiffany’s Chances of Beating David Crowley to Flip Wisconsin—Polls

Summary

A new poll shows a close race for Wisconsin governor in 2026 between Democrat David Crowley and Republican Tom Tiffany. Both candidates have strong support, with Crowley holding a slight lead, but many voters remain undecided as the election approaches.

Key Facts

  • Incumbent Wisconsin Governor Tony Evers, a Democrat, is retiring after two terms.
  • David Crowley, Milwaukee County Executive, and Tom Tiffany, a Republican congressman, are the main candidates.
  • A Marquette Law School poll shows Crowley leading Tiffany 49% to 44% among likely voters.
  • Among all registered voters, the race is tied at 44% each, with 12% undecided.
  • Republicans show higher enthusiasm to vote than Democrats according to the poll.
  • President Donald Trump’s approval rating is low in Wisconsin, which could affect Republican chances.
  • Other polls also show Crowley with a small lead, but the race remains competitive.
  • Political analysts describe the race as a toss-up or leaning slightly Democratic.
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