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Greg Abbott and Ken Paxton Going in Different Directions in New Texas Poll

Greg Abbott and Ken Paxton Going in Different Directions in New Texas Poll

Summary

A new Texas poll shows Governor Greg Abbott is leading Democrat Gina Hinojosa by 7 points, while Attorney General Ken Paxton is trailing Democrat James Talarico by 6 points. Abbott's support has increased recently, whereas Paxton faces challenges including low favorability and a tougher election race.

Key Facts

  • The poll surveyed 1,000 likely Texas voters in late August 2026 with a ±3.3% margin of error.
  • Abbott leads Hinojosa 49% to 42%, with 7% undecided.
  • Paxton trails Talarico 42% to 48%, with 7% undecided.
  • Abbott's lead has grown since earlier polls this year, showing his strongest position since June.
  • Paxton’s support is weaker than Abbott’s among Republicans, with 80% backing Paxton versus 90% for Abbott.
  • Paxton's difficulties include controversies, high unfavorable ratings, a tough primary, and trouble winning independent voters.
  • Texas voted for President Donald Trump by a large margin in 2024 and has not elected a Democrat statewide since the 1990s.
  • Democrats see the 2026 midterms in Texas as a critical chance to increase their influence, especially in suburbs and among Hispanic voters.
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