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Democrat in Striking Distance of Flipping State Trump Won by 23 Points—Poll

Democrat in Striking Distance of Flipping State Trump Won by 23 Points—Poll

Summary

A new poll shows Republican Senator Cindy Hyde-Smith leading Democrat Scott Colom by 6 points in Mississippi’s Senate race. Mississippi, a state that strongly supported President Donald Trump in 2024, is usually not competitive for Democrats, but this race appears closer than expected.

Key Facts

  • Hyde-Smith leads Colom 44% to 38% in a recent poll of likely voters in Mississippi.
  • Independent candidate Ty Pinkins received 7% of the vote in the same poll.
  • Without Pinkins on the ballot, Hyde-Smith leads Colom 47% to 41%.
  • The poll surveyed 1,018 likely voters between August 5 and August 15, with a 3-point margin of error.
  • Hyde-Smith has a net favorability rating of -10 points, with 50% unfavorable and 40% favorable views.
  • Colom is less well-known but has a more positive net favorability rating among those aware of him.
  • President Trump remains favorably viewed by a slim majority in Mississippi (51% favorable, 47% unfavorable).
  • Mississippi strongly supports Republicans, with Trump winning about 61% of the vote in 2024 and previous elections showing large GOP margins.
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