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Update to Google’s AI weather model improves forecast accuracy

Update to Google’s AI weather model improves forecast accuracy

Summary

Google released version 3 of its AI weather forecast model called WeatherNext. This update includes using satellite data to create more frequent and accurate weather forecasts, improving predictions for temperature and precipitation.

Key Facts

  • WeatherNext 3 uses satellite weather data to reduce lag time in forecasts.
  • The model increases forecast updates from every six hours to every hour.
  • It improves spatial resolution, making weather predictions more detailed.
  • A separate machine-learning model is used to estimate precipitation from satellites.
  • The model adds some physical information like land/ocean status and elevation for better surface temperature forecasts.
  • Compared to the previous version, WeatherNext 3 shows about 5% better accuracy in upper atmosphere conditions.
  • Surface temperature forecasts improve accuracy by up to 30%.
  • WeatherNext 3 generally outperforms the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts’ AI model.
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