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UK economy defies forecasts with surprise 0.4% growth in July

UK economy defies forecasts with surprise 0.4% growth in July

Summary

The UK economy grew by 0.4% in July, beating predictions of no growth. This positive change comes despite the economic challenges caused by the war in Iran and rising global oil prices.

Key Facts

  • UK GDP increased by 0.4% in July, up from 0.3% in June.
  • Economists had expected the UK economy to have zero growth in July.
  • The Iran war has caused global economic uncertainty and pushed oil prices above $100 per barrel.
  • Higher oil prices may lead to increased inflation around the world.
  • UK borrowing costs are at their highest in nearly 20 years.
  • The UK showed the strongest growth among G7 countries in the first half of 2026.
  • Rising interest rates and market disruptions may force the UK government to raise taxes or cut spending.
  • The UK Chancellor, John Healey, will present his budget on 28 October.
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