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James Talarico's Chance of Beating Ken Paxton Flips in New Poll

James Talarico's Chance of Beating Ken Paxton Flips in New Poll

Summary

A new poll shows Democrat James Talarico narrowly leading Republican Ken Paxton in the Texas U.S. Senate race ahead of the November election. This is a change from an earlier poll where Paxton was ahead, reflecting shifting voter support in the historically Republican state.

Key Facts

  • The poll was done by SoCal Strategies between September 12-13, surveying 649 likely voters.
  • Talarico leads with 50% compared to Paxton’s 45% in the latest poll.
  • In a June poll, Paxton was ahead with 49% to Talarico’s 47%.
  • Talarico gained support among Hispanic voters (10% to 38%) and independent voters (10% to 45%) since June.
  • Paxton maintains leads among white voters, people aged 45 and older.
  • Many Republican voters remain undecided, while most Democratic voters have made up their minds.
  • President Donald Trump supports Paxton and has criticized Talarico.
  • Texas has voted for Republican presidential candidates since 1980 and hasn’t elected a Democrat statewide since 1994.
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