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At least seven months of relentless rain needed to end drought, research shows

At least seven months of relentless rain needed to end drought, research shows

Summary

New research shows England needs at least seven months of above-average rainfall to end its drought by spring 2027. Despite some recent rain, most of England remains in drought due to a dry spring and summer, and water levels are still low.

Key Facts

  • Around 75% of England is still experiencing drought conditions.
  • About 120% of usual rainfall is needed between now and April to end the drought everywhere in England.
  • Some regions, like Devon, Cornwall, and East Anglia, may still face drought in spring 2027 even with wetter autumns.
  • There is roughly a 25% chance that half of England could still be in drought next spring.
  • Severe drought means serious water shortages affecting the environment, farms, people, and the economy; England hasn’t had a severe drought since 1976.
  • Reservoirs in England are at about 57% capacity, which is lower than usual for this time of year.
  • Scotland and Wales also face water shortages, with parts of Scotland at significant water scarcity.
  • The Met Office forecasts a wetter-than-average autumn, partly influenced by the current strong El Niño weather pattern.
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