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James Talarico Leads Ken Paxton With Every Pollster For First Time

James Talarico Leads Ken Paxton With Every Pollster For First Time

Summary

Texas Democrat James Talarico is currently ahead of Republican Ken Paxton in statewide polls for the U.S. Senate race. This is the first time Talarico leads every pollster, reflecting changing voter preferences in Texas ahead of the November election.

Key Facts

  • James Talarico is leading Ken Paxton in polls by eight different pollsters.
  • The latest Emerson College poll (Sept 12-14) shows Talarico with 47% and Paxton with 46%.
  • The previous Emerson poll (Aug 9-10) showed Paxton leading 47% to 46%.
  • Texas Hispanic voters, who supported President Trump in 2024, now favor Talarico by 54% to 39%.
  • 53% of Texas Hispanic voters disapprove of President Trump.
  • 51% of Texas voters think the state is going in the wrong direction.
  • Texas has been a Republican stronghold, but recent elections are becoming more competitive.
  • President Donald Trump supports Ken Paxton and has criticized Talarico publicly.
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