Experts Warn Atlantic Storm Could Be 2026's First Hurricane Amid El Niño
Summary
Weather experts warn that the first hurricane of the 2026 Atlantic season might form near Bermuda soon, ending the longest hurricane-free period since 1966. The El Niño climate pattern has helped keep the Atlantic season quiet so far by increasing wind shear, which prevents storms from growing.Key Facts
- The 2026 Atlantic hurricane season has gone the longest without a hurricane since satellite records began in 1966.
- The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 to November 30, with September usually being the most active month.
- El Niño is a climate pattern causing warmer Pacific Ocean waters and weaker winds there, which can reduce hurricane activity in the Atlantic.
- El Niño is expected to get stronger through the end of 2026, with a very high chance of becoming "very strong" in fall and winter.
- A disturbance about 350 miles east of Bermuda could develop into the season’s first hurricane, possibly named Fay.
- The National Hurricane Center estimates a 40% chance of this system forming into a tropical storm or hurricane within 2 to 7 days.
- Bermuda residents are advised to monitor the situation, but the expected impact on the U.S. is low.
- El Niño typically reduces the number of hurricane days in the Atlantic by about 60%.
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