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GOP's Latino gains fade as deeper gender and generational divides emerge

GOP's Latino gains fade as deeper gender and generational divides emerge

Summary

Latino voters supported Republicans strongly in the 2024 election, but recent polling shows Democrats regaining support among Latinos. Differences in opinion are growing, especially between young Latino men and women, on issues like immigration, President Trump, and democracy.

Key Facts

  • A recent poll shows Democrats lead Latinos 56% to 29% on a generic House ballot in seven key states.
  • Democrats have an 11-point wider advantage among Latino voters compared to their margin in 2024.
  • Democrats lead Latino voters in six states: Arizona, Georgia, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Texas; Republicans lead slightly in Florida.
  • Immigration remains a very important issue, with most Latino voters supporting a path to legal status and stronger border security.
  • Young Latino women in California prioritize protecting immigrant communities, opposing President Trump’s agenda, and defending democracy more than young Latino men.
  • Nearly half of Hispanic voters supported President Trump in 2024, the best GOP Latino performance in decades, but polls now show declining support.
  • A Latino evangelical group released a bilingual, nonpartisan voting guide focusing on character, love of neighbor, and responsible use of power.
  • The main poll surveyed 1,353 Latino registered voters between September 4-16, 2026, across seven battleground states.
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