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Ashley Moody Sounds Alarm as Second Poll Shows Dead Heat With Angie Nixon

Ashley Moody Sounds Alarm as Second Poll Shows Dead Heat With Angie Nixon

Summary

Florida Republican Senator Ashley Moody and Democrat Angie Nixon are tied in recent polls for the special Senate election to fill Marco Rubio’s former seat. Nixon’s challenge is significant because no Democrat has won statewide in Florida since 2018, and Republicans have an advantage in voter registration.

Key Facts

  • Two recent polls by St. Pete Polls and Change Research show Moody and Nixon almost tied.
  • St. Pete Polls had Moody at 45.2% and Nixon at 44.8%, with a 3.2% margin of error.
  • Nixon leads strongly among younger voters and independents, while Moody leads with older and non-Hispanic white voters.
  • Change Research shows both candidates tied at 47%, with President Trump having a negative favorability rating.
  • A Quantus Insights poll showed Moody ahead by 7 points, but this was less recent.
  • Moody was appointed Senator in 2025 by Governor Ron DeSantis and had been Senator Marco Rubio’s successor.
  • Nixon won the Democratic primary by defeating Alexander Vindman, despite being outspent.
  • Republicans currently hold a Senate majority, and losing the seat could impact President Trump’s ability to pass plans.
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