Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez Knows She May Not Be Able to Win in 2028
Summary
Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez may run for president in 2028 but knows winning could be difficult because the U.S. has never elected a female president. Current polls show she could face a tough race against Vice President JD Vance, especially among certain voter groups.Key Facts
- Ocasio-Cortez is a top favorite to win the Democratic nomination for president in 2028 according to prediction markets.
- She has about an 18% chance to win the Democratic nomination and a 13% chance to win the presidency overall, while Vice President JD Vance has about a 21% chance to win.
- Polling shows Ocasio-Cortez trailing Vance in hypothetical matchups by a small margin.
- She performs better than Vance among women, young voters (ages 18-29), and minority groups like Black, Hispanic, and Asian voters.
- Vance leads in support among men, voters over 65, white voters, and those without a college degree.
- Ocasio-Cortez has not yet decided to run and will make that decision after the 2024 midterm elections.
- She acknowledges that being a woman and Latina may affect her chances in the election and sees gender as a real factor in politics.
- If elected, Ocasio-Cortez would be the first woman president and the first to go directly from the House of Representatives to the presidency.
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