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Map Shows House Districts Most Likely to Flip as Fox News Shifts 15 Races

Map Shows House Districts Most Likely to Flip as Fox News Shifts 15 Races

Summary

Fox News has moved 15 U.S. House races away from Republicans toward Democrats as the midterm elections approach. Democrats need to win a few more seats to gain control of the House, and recent polls show them leading by significant margins.

Key Facts

  • Republicans currently hold 218 House seats; Democrats hold 214 seats.
  • Fox News shifted five races to toss-up status, indicating they are competitive.
  • Democrats are favored in 215 races, Republicans in 201, with 19 toss-ups.
  • Other forecast groups like Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball have similar but slightly different race ratings.
  • Recent polls show Democrats leading Republicans by 8 to 14 points among likely voters.
  • President Donald Trump’s approval rating is declining as Election Day nears.
  • Democrats only need a small number of seat gains to take control of the House.
  • Analysts compare the current political environment to the 2018 midterms, which were challenging for Republicans.
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