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How Premier League teams have really started - according to xG

How Premier League teams have really started - according to xG

Summary

This article uses the statistic called expected goals (xG) to show how Premier League football teams have really performed early in the season. It explains which teams have played better or worse than their current league position suggests, based on the quality and number of chances created and conceded.

Key Facts

  • Expected goals (xG) measures how well teams control games by counting the quality and number of shots, excluding penalties.
  • Arsenal, the reigning champions, have the best overall performance by xG difference despite a heavy recent loss.
  • Manchester City and Brentford have also dominated their matches, reflected in their strong xG stats.
  • Manchester United’s xG difference is high even though their league results have been inconsistent.
  • Brighton has the best attacking record by xG and has scored more goals than expected, showing efficiency.
  • Newcastle scored many goals despite low xG, relying on clinical finishing rather than creating many chances.
  • Some teams like Aston Villa, Crystal Palace, and Newcastle have poor xG performance even if their league position is decent.
  • Promoted teams such as Hull and Ipswich are performing better than expected and could avoid relegation challenges.
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