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UK economy will grow by less than expected next year, OECD says

UK economy will grow by less than expected next year, OECD says

Summary

The UK’s economy is expected to grow by 1% in 2027, which is slightly less than previously predicted by the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD). The OECD raised the growth forecast for 2026 but lowered it for 2027 due to higher fuel prices and global risks like the US-Israel war in Iran affecting supply and inflation.

Key Facts

  • The OECD predicts the UK economy will grow 1.1% in 2026, up from an earlier estimate of 0.9%.
  • Growth for 2027 is forecasted at 1%, down from the previous forecast of 1.1%.
  • The ongoing conflict involving the US and Israel in Iran is creating economic uncertainty globally.
  • Higher fuel prices, partly caused by the Middle East conflict, are expected to slow economic growth.
  • The OECD warns that supply disruptions and inflation will influence the UK’s economy.
  • Other countries like Australia, Canada, and those in the Euro-area are also seeing slower growth predictions.
  • Climate change impacts, such as severe weather from El Nino, could affect food production and prices worldwide.
  • Chancellor John Healey is preparing the UK Budget amid these economic challenges.
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