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Thousands of Americans Warned Over Hidden Risk as Strong El Niño Looms

Thousands of Americans Warned Over Hidden Risk as Strong El Niño Looms

Summary

Experts warn that a very strong El Niño event is expected this year, increasing the risk of severe storms in the U.S., especially Florida. People living in older mobile and manufactured homes face a much higher danger during tornadoes due to weaker building standards before 1994.

Key Facts

  • El Niño is a climate pattern that warms the Pacific Ocean waters and affects weather worldwide.
  • There is nearly a 100% chance of a very strong El Niño event during fall and winter 2026-27.
  • Mobile home residents are 15 to 20 times more likely to die in tornadoes than those in permanent houses.
  • Florida has about 830,000 manufactured homes, many built before 1994 safety rules.
  • Around 700,000 mobile homes in Florida cannot withstand strong storms; 250,000 were built before federal regulations.
  • Older mobile homes may put about half a million people over age 70 at risk during severe weather.
  • Sea surface temperatures in the Pacific are reaching record highs, making this El Niño unusually powerful.
  • Climate warming overall adds more moisture to the atmosphere, which can increase storms linked to El Niño.
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