El Niño could cause 451,000 more heat deaths compared to normal year, group says
Summary
A new report from the University of Chicago’s Climate Impact Lab estimates that the current El Niño could cause about 451,000 extra heat-related deaths globally in the first nine months compared to a normal year. The strongest effects are expected in countries in the Global South, where heat, drought, wildfires, and floods will worsen due to this unusually powerful El Niño event.Key Facts
- El Niño is a climate pattern where ocean temperatures in the Pacific rise above average, affecting weather worldwide.
- The current El Niño is predicted to be the strongest recorded.
- This event is expected to increase heat-related deaths by around 451,000 globally in nine months.
- Nigeria, Sudan, Niger, and Chad may see over 65,000 extra deaths combined due to heat.
- Countries in Southeast Asia, including the Philippines, Vietnam, Thailand, Cambodia, and Indonesia, could face close to 40,000 heat deaths.
- Brazil and India also face high numbers of heat-related deaths.
- The phenomenon will likely last into early 2027, impacting weather patterns through the Northern Hemisphere’s winter and spring.
- Emergency actions like heat warnings, hydration stations, and health support can help reduce deaths.
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