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Scientists warn super El Nino could cause 450,000 deaths: Should we worry?

Scientists warn super El Nino could cause 450,000 deaths: Should we worry?

Summary

A report by Climate Impact Lab warns that this year’s strong "super El Nino" could cause around 451,000 extra deaths worldwide due to heat between June 2024 and February 2027. The report links rising ocean temperatures and climate change to more extreme heat, and suggests actions to protect vulnerable people from deadly heat effects.

Key Facts

  • The "super El Nino" causes Pacific Ocean temperatures to rise much higher than usual, pushing global heat to record levels.
  • This year’s El Nino reached 2.7°C above normal ocean surface temperatures and could peak at around 4°C.
  • Researchers predict 451,000 more heat-related deaths globally during this event compared to average years.
  • The number of extremely hot days could rise by 44% compared to normal years.
  • Climate Impact Lab studied 24,378 regions, combining local climate and health data with temperature forecasts to estimate the death toll.
  • The report calls for emergency responses like heat warnings, cooling centers, and extra medical staff to protect vulnerable groups.
  • El Nino is a natural climate cycle that warms the Pacific Ocean every few years, affecting global weather patterns.
  • Scientists say this super El Nino shows a glimpse of future temperature extremes made worse by climate change.
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