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Mortgage rates are back above 7%. How much higher could they climb?

Mortgage rates are back above 7%. How much higher could they climb?

Summary

Mortgage rates have risen above 7%, reaching their highest point in nearly two years, making it more expensive to buy a home. Experts say rates could keep rising soon due to inflation, economic growth, and the war in Iran, though there is some hope rates might fall later.

Key Facts

  • The average 30-year fixed mortgage rate is now about 7.03%, the highest since January 2025.
  • Rates have gone up over one percentage point since late February, when they were below 5%.
  • Inflation, tighter monetary policies, stronger economic growth, and growing federal debt are pushing rates higher.
  • The 30-year mortgage rate often moves along with the 10-year Treasury yield, which recently hit 5.1%, the highest in about 20 years.
  • The war in Iran has increased inflation and caused more uncertainty in bond markets.
  • Federal Reserve interest rate hikes may continue, adding pressure on mortgage rates.
  • Some experts predict mortgage rates might fall below 7% by the end of the year or into 2027 if inflation eases.
  • Home prices may soften after summer, giving buyers more choices and bargaining power despite higher rates.
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