Brazil’s Lula and Flavio Bolsonaro still essentially tied in new poll
Summary
A new poll shows Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva and Senator Flavio Bolsonaro are very close in voter support ahead of October’s presidential election. Lula has a small lead over Bolsonaro, but the difference is so small that it could be a tie.Key Facts
- Lula leads Bolsonaro by 2 percentage points in a possible run-off election (47% to 45%).
- The margin of error for the poll is 2 percentage points, making the race very close.
- In the first round, Lula has 40% support, Bolsonaro 36%, with other candidates getting less.
- Flavio Bolsonaro is the eldest son of former President Jair Bolsonaro.
- Jair Bolsonaro is in prison, serving a 27-year sentence for trying to overturn the 2022 election results.
- Lula is running for his fourth term as Brazil’s president, but they are not consecutive.
- If no candidate gets more than 50% in the first round, the top two go to a run-off.
- The poll surveyed 2,002 people from September 22 to 23 and matches results from other recent polls.
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