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House Republicans on track to lose majority

House Republicans on track to lose majority

Summary

A nonpartisan group says House Republicans are likely to lose their majority in the upcoming midterm elections. Democrats need to win just three more seats to take control, and recent changes in race forecasts favor the Democrats.

Key Facts

  • The Cook Political Report moved 15 House races toward Democrats recently.
  • Democrats are expected to gain between 5 and 15 seats, possibly reaching 220-230 seats.
  • Republicans have tried to use redistricting and financial advantages to keep control.
  • New district maps in California and Utah balance out some Republican gains.
  • Republicans still have $13 million more cash than Democrats for the races.
  • Democrats lead with 208 favored races; Republicans have 205.
  • There are 17 Republican-held "Toss Up" races where the winner is uncertain.
  • Many competitive districts voted for President Trump in 2024 but are now leaning against him.
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