Cattle to feed: Why a global meat crisis is looming
Summary
Beef prices are rising globally as the number of cattle is dropping in major beef-producing countries like Brazil, the US, and China. This shrinking supply, along with other factors like weather and import restrictions, is causing a potential worldwide meat shortage that could affect the availability and cost of meat for many people.Key Facts
- Brazil, the US, and China produce more than half of the world’s beef, but all three countries have fewer cattle than before.
- Brazil’s cattle herd dropped nearly 8% from 192.5 million in 2024 to 177.4 million in 2026.
- The US cattle count is at a historic low, with 86.2 million cattle in 2026 and a 2% smaller calf crop from the previous year.
- China’s cattle herd fell 14% from 105 million in 2024 to 94 million in 2026.
- Beef production is expected to decrease by 2% in Brazil, 4% in the US, and 12% in China in 2026.
- Brazil faces export challenges due to import limits from China and the EU, leading to reduced cattle slaughter and efforts to rebuild herds.
- Droughts in the US have damaged grazing lands and increased feed costs, adding pressure on farmers.
- Immigration raids affecting the meat industry workforce have further strained US cattle production.
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