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2026 election forecast update: Democrats gain ground in House, Senate stays tight

2026 election forecast update: Democrats gain ground in House, Senate stays tight

Summary

The latest forecast from Decision Desk HQ shows Democrats improving their chances of winning more seats in the House of Representatives. However, the competition for control of the Senate remains very close and unpredictable.

Key Facts

  • Democrats are gaining ground in the race for the House of Representatives.
  • Control of the Senate is still very uncertain and can go to either party.
  • The forecast looks at which specific House seats are likely to change parties.
  • Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton is a Republican candidate for the Senate.
  • The data is analyzed to see if it supports Ken Paxton’s chances in the Senate race.
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