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Texas Is Democrat Blue Mirage. Paxton, Trump Polls May Bring It Into Focus

Texas Is Democrat Blue Mirage. Paxton, Trump Polls May Bring It Into Focus

Summary

Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton is a Republican Senate candidate with very low popularity ratings but remains in a close race against Democrat James Talarico in a state that leans Republican. Polls show a nearly even contest, and Republicans are spending heavily to support Paxton while also trying to lower Talarico's popularity.

Key Facts

  • Ken Paxton has a net favorability rating of negative 16 points, considered unusually low for a Texas Republican Senate nominee.
  • Despite low favorability, Paxton remains competitive against Democratic nominee James Talarico.
  • Polling averages show a very close race, with Talarico leading by just 0.2 percentage points.
  • Texas continues to lean Republican overall, which helps Paxton stay competitive despite his negative image.
  • Experts say Paxton’s unpopularity is higher among Democrats than previous Republican candidates.
  • Republicans are spending tens of millions of dollars to support Paxton’s campaign.
  • The GOP strategy includes trying to lower Talarico’s favorability to improve Paxton’s chances.
  • President Donald Trump acknowledged Paxton may be difficult to work with but continues to support him.
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