A Democratic upset is brewing in Alaska’s governor’s race as Trump’s popularity craters
Summary
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins, a Democrat, is gaining strong support in Alaska’s governor race this year. This comes as President Trump’s approval has dropped sharply in the state, and locals express dissatisfaction with the current Republican governor’s policies.Key Facts
- Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins traveled many remote villages in Alaska by boat, snowmachine, and plane to meet voters.
- Alaska uses ranked-choice voting, where voters rank candidates and votes transfer as lower candidates are eliminated.
- Kreiss-Tomkins led the state’s nonpartisan primary ahead of multiple Republican candidates.
- President Trump won Alaska by 13 points in 2022, but his approval rating there has dropped by about 21–22 points.
- The current Governor, Mike Dunleavy, a Trump supporter, is unpopular due to not fully delivering on increased oil dividend payments to residents.
- A recent poll shows Kreiss-Tomkins with 40% of first-choice votes, close to the combined 41% for three Republican candidates.
- Alaska is unique with its large size, small communities, and a political culture valuing direct voter contact.
- Kreiss-Tomkins first entered politics by winning a statehouse seat in 2012 at age 22, defeating a Republican by a narrow margin.
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