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War on Iran: Is escalation more likely than a deal?

War on Iran: Is escalation more likely than a deal?

Summary

Former diplomats from Iran and the US say that the current conflict over Iran’s nuclear program is unlikely to end soon with a deal or stalemate. They point out that Iran doubts US claims that the conflict is only about nuclear weapons and not oil. They also say President Trump’s administration prefers quick results rather than long talks, leaving regional countries to lead efforts with US support.

Key Facts

  • Iran’s leaders do not believe the US when it says the conflict is only about nuclear weapons, not oil.
  • Hossein Mousavian, a former Iranian diplomat involved in past nuclear talks, shares this view.
  • Alan Eyre, a former US diplomat also involved in those talks, says the conflict won’t end soon with a peace deal or a permanent stalemate.
  • The current US government under President Trump prefers fast results over prolonged diplomacy.
  • Eyre believes regional countries need to take the lead in resolving the conflict, with the US supporting but not leading.
  • Both Mousavian and Eyre have experience negotiating Iran’s nuclear program in the past.
  • The host Steve Clemons led the discussion about the prospects of the conflict.
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