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Bolsonaro favourite to win: What Brazil’s first round of elections tells us

Bolsonaro favourite to win: What Brazil’s first round of elections tells us

Summary

In Brazil’s first-round presidential election, right-wing Senator Flavio Bolsonaro narrowly led incumbent President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva but did not reach the 50% needed to win outright. This means a run-off election will happen on October 25 between Bolsonaro and Lula, continuing their political rivalry.

Key Facts

  • Flavio Bolsonaro, son of former President Jair Bolsonaro, won 47% of the vote in the first round.
  • Incumbent President Lula da Silva received 45.1% of the vote.
  • Neither candidate passed the 50% threshold required to avoid a run-off.
  • The run-off between Bolsonaro and Lula will take place on October 25.
  • Jair Bolsonaro is serving a 27-year prison sentence for planning a coup after losing the 2022 election.
  • Bolsonaro’s better-than-expected result has boosted Brazil’s currency and stock market.
  • Approximately 21% of voters (30 million people) did not vote in the first round.
  • Several Bolsonaro family members won congressional seats in the same election cycle.
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