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SF Fed president: AI demand could extend energy shock

SF Fed president: AI demand could extend energy shock

Summary

Mary Daly, president of the San Francisco Federal Reserve, said that strong demand for computers used in artificial intelligence (AI) could cause a shortage of computer chips and raise prices for a long time. This might keep inflation high and make it harder for the Fed to lower inflation by raising interest rates.

Key Facts

  • AI demand is increasing the need for computer chips beyond just big data centers.
  • Some companies are buying chips in advance to ensure they have enough supply.
  • Companies are redesigning products to use fewer chips, showing concern about future shortages.
  • Chip shortages in AI could affect other products like cars and appliances, raising their costs.
  • The Fed usually expects supply shocks to ease within 1 to 3 years, but this AI-driven shock may last longer.
  • Firms that drive AI expansion are less affected by higher interest rates, making inflation harder to control.
  • Daly supports the recent Fed interest rate hike to address rising inflation.
  • Future Fed decisions will depend on whether energy and trade pressures on inflation decrease.
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