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Can $1B buy victory in the midterm elections? Some Republicans fear the answer is no

Can $1B buy victory in the midterm elections? Some Republicans fear the answer is no

Summary

Republicans have about $1 billion to spend in the final month of the 2026 midterm elections but worry it might not be enough to avoid big losses. Much of this money comes from President Donald Trump’s aligned group, MAGA Inc., which started spending late and now faces much higher advertising costs.

Key Facts

  • Republicans have nearly $1 billion in total campaign funds as the midterms approach.
  • MAGA Inc., linked to President Trump, had about $416 million in cash at the end of August.
  • MAGA Inc. began heavy spending on key races only in September, causing higher ad prices.
  • Paying late means some ads now cost up to five times more than if bought earlier.
  • Texas is a key battleground, with MAGA Inc. spending over $22 million recently to support Republican Ken Paxton.
  • Texas PAC, aligned with Senate Majority Leader John Thune, spent over $83 million last month to protect a usually safe Republican Senate seat.
  • Ads on streaming platforms cost MAGA Inc. about $894 each, compared to about $290 for direct candidate ads.
  • Democrats rely more on voter opposition to President Trump and focused messaging rather than money.
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