Dan Sullivan at Risk: How Midterm Headwinds Compare to His 2020 Alaska Win
Summary
Senator Dan Sullivan, a Republican from Alaska, is currently trailing Democrat Mary Peltola in several polls as he seeks a third term in the Senate. His situation now is less favorable compared to 2020, when he had a strong lead and won easily, while Peltola is seen as a strong opponent with prior experience representing Alaska in Congress.Key Facts
- Dan Sullivan is a Republican senator from Alaska running for a third term in 2026.
- Recent polls show Democrat Mary Peltola leading Sullivan by 2 to 7 percentage points.
- In 2020, Sullivan was ahead in polls and won by nearly 13 points against independent Al Gross.
- Mary Peltola served Alaska’s House seat from 2022 to 2025 and is the first Alaska Native woman in Congress.
- The political environment has changed since 2020, with Sullivan’s ties to President Trump, who is less popular now, possibly hurting him.
- Vice President JD Vance campaigned with Sullivan recently, showing Republican support.
- The National Republican Senatorial Committee (NRSC) remains confident in Sullivan’s chances despite polling.
- Campaigns are attacking each other: Republicans criticize Peltola’s record and allies, while Peltola’s team says Sullivan has raised costs for Alaskans and supports costly wars.
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