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Greg Abbott Gets Good Sign After Double Texas Polling Blow

Greg Abbott Gets Good Sign After Double Texas Polling Blow

Summary

Texas Governor Greg Abbott currently leads his Democratic challenger, Gina Hinojosa, in a recent poll, despite earlier surveys showing Hinojosa ahead. Meanwhile, the Texas U.S. Senate race remains tied between Republican Ken Paxton and Democrat James Talarico. Both statewide races are competitive, with voter turnout expected to be a key factor.

Key Facts

  • A UMass Lowell/YouGov poll shows Abbott leading Hinojosa 48% to 44%, with a margin of error of ±4.5%.
  • Two earlier polls gave Hinojosa a slight lead, but those leads were within their margins of error.
  • Abbott wins more support from independent voters (26%) than Ken Paxton (18%) in the Senate race, which is currently tied at 45%-45%.
  • Hinojosa leads among younger voters, women, Black voters, Hispanic voters, and college graduates.
  • Abbott performs better among older voters, white voters, men, and those without a college degree.
  • Abbott’s job approval rating recently dropped from 56% to 52%.
  • Turnout by younger and Hispanic voters, who tend to vote less in midterms, could affect the election outcome.
  • Abbott’s campaign has more resources to keep advertising through the final weeks before the election.
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