US Polling ‘Nostradamus’ Predicts Which Senate Seats Democrats Will Flip
Summary
Historian Allan Lichtman predicts Democrats will gain control of the U.S. Senate in the November midterm elections by flipping five Republican seats. He expects Democrats to win in Michigan, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Maine, Ohio, Texas, and Alaska, moving from a 47-53 minority to a 52-44 majority.Key Facts
- Republicans currently hold 53 Senate seats; Democrats have 45, plus 2 independents who side with them.
- Lichtman forecasts Democrats will flip five Republican seats and keep their current seats in Michigan and New Hampshire.
- Key races to watch include North Carolina, Maine, Ohio, Texas, and Alaska.
- Polls and prediction markets generally support North Carolina as the most likely Democratic pickup.
- Maine’s race is competitive, with incumbent Republican Susan Collins facing a close challenge.
- Ohio’s Democrat Sherrod Brown is seen as having a good chance to win back his old Senate seat.
- Texas is considered a potential breakthrough for Democrats due to controversies around Republican Ken Paxton.
- Alaska’s race favors Democrat Mary Peltola despite the state’s usual Republican lean.
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