Will China Shrink to 320 Million People?
Summary
A Chinese demographer named Fuxian Yi predicts that China's population could drop to about 320 million by the year 2100. This prediction is much lower than official numbers, which some experts doubt because of past controversies with government data and policies like the one-child rule.Key Facts
- China's current population is about 1.4 billion people, according to the government.
- Fuxian Yi, an independent demographer, projects China's population may fall to 320 million by 2100.
- Yi questions official population figures and uses alternative methods to estimate real data.
- China's one-child policy, started in 1980, was designed using engineering models and led to many forced abortions and sterilizations.
- The one-child policy caused a sharp drop in birth rates and significant human suffering.
- The article is based on a recent publication in the journal Contemporary China Review, which supports free speech and is published outside China.
- Fuxian Yi is also an obstetrics and gynecology specialist now working in the U.S. at the University of Wisconsin-Madison.
- The article is part of Newsweek’s "China Decoded" newsletter, which looks at China’s global influence and policies.
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