Greg Abbott's Chances of Beating Gina Hinojosa Flip in New Texas Poll
Summary
A new poll shows Texas Governor Greg Abbott slightly ahead of his Democratic challenger Gina Hinojosa in the race for governor. The survey found Abbott with 48% support and Hinojosa with 47%, but the difference is small and within the poll’s margin of error.Key Facts
- The poll was conducted by ReconMR with 617 likely Texas voters from October 5 to 8, 2026.
- Abbott, a Republican, has 48% support while Hinojosa, a Democrat, has 47%.
- The difference is within a 4.4% margin of error, so no clear leader is determined.
- Last month, Hinojosa led Abbott by 4 points.
- Abbott is popular with 92% of Republican voters; Hinojosa leads 94% of Democrats and 57% of independents.
- Abbott leads in rural Texas by 25 points; Hinojosa leads in Austin, Houston, San Antonio, and South Texas.
- Abbott’s approval rating is slightly negative, with 48% approving and 51% disapproving.
- Despite close poll numbers, 62% of respondents believe Abbott will win the election.
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