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Two scenarios for the Yemen war

Two scenarios for the Yemen war

Summary

The Iran-backed Houthis have increased attacks on Saudi Arabia, targeting civilian sites and causing deaths and injuries. This escalation could lead to either a large regional military operation against the Houthis or a prolonged conflict wearing both sides down.

Key Facts

  • The Houthis, supported by Iran, have attacked Saudi Arabia, hitting civilian infrastructure like airports.
  • These attacks have killed at least a dozen people and injured hundreds.
  • Saudi Arabia is seeking support from Gulf countries, Pakistan, and Turkiye to create a united front against the Houthis.
  • Turkiye and Pakistan recently signed a defense pact with Saudi Arabia, allowing possible military involvement.
  • The U.S. might get involved but is unlikely to engage militarily before the U.S. midterm elections.
  • The internationally recognized Yemeni government is working to retake territory from the Houthis, including the western coast and possibly the capital, Sanaa.
  • Internal disputes within the Yemeni government have slowed its advances but recent efforts to unify command have improved progress.
  • If the coalition fails to act decisively, the conflict could become a prolonged war with continued Houthi attacks on Saudi Arabia and strategic towns in Yemen.
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