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Latest poll shows Bolsonaro maintaining edge over Lula in Brazil run-off

Latest poll shows Bolsonaro maintaining edge over Lula in Brazil run-off

Summary

A recent poll shows Brazilian Senator Flavio Bolsonaro slightly ahead of President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva in the October 25 run-off election. The race is very close, with multiple polls showing Bolsonaro and Lula within a 2 percent margin of error.

Key Facts

  • A CNT/MDA poll gave Bolsonaro 46.8% and Lula 45.9% of the vote.
  • Other polls (Quaest and Datafolha) show similar close results between the two candidates.
  • Bolsonaro is the son of former President Jair Bolsonaro, who is serving a prison sentence related to the 2022 election dispute.
  • Jair Bolsonaro is banned from running for office until 2030.
  • Flavio Bolsonaro promises to fight crime, reduce taxes, and continues his father’s conservative political style.
  • Lula is 80 years old and is seeking a fourth, non-consecutive presidential term.
  • Recently, Brazil’s Congress approved giving workers two paid days off per week, a win for Lula’s social reform goals.
  • The election is important for Brazil’s economy and has regional significance as Latin America has recently shifted toward right-wing leaders.
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