Republicans Dealt Triple Senate Polling Blow by Leading Election Forecaster
Summary
New polling from The Cook Political Report shows Democrats leading in three key Senate races in Texas, Iowa, and Ohio as Republicans try to keep control of Congress in the upcoming midterm elections. The polling suggests voter dissatisfaction with the economy is hurting Republican candidates, including President Trump’s standing in these states.Key Facts
- Democrats lead by 5% in Texas (James Talarico over Ken Paxton), 2% in Iowa (Josh Turek over Ashley Hinson), and 6% in Ohio (Sherrod Brown over Jon Husted).
- These states voted for President Donald Trump in the 2024 presidential election.
- Democrats are seen as more trustworthy on issues like fighting corruption, inflation, and lowering gas and energy prices.
- Republicans have an advantage on immigration and taxes but face overall declining support due to economic concerns.
- Republican candidates have double-digit negative favorability ratings, while Democratic candidates have about even favorability.
- Polling shows President Trump’s net favorability is negative even in traditionally Republican states like Texas.
- Experts say Democrats are competitive to gain Senate majority if their early voter turnout stays strong.
- Uncertainty remains over how likely voters in polls will compare with actual voters on Election Day.
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