Takeaways from the early vote in the 2026 midterms two weeks out
Summary
More than 18 million Americans have voted early in the 2026 midterm elections by mail or in person. Early voting data shows that Democrats are more enthusiastic in some key states, though the final results will also depend on who votes closer to or on Election Day.Key Facts
- Over 18 million early votes had been cast in the 2026 midterms as of October 22, 2026.
- Democrats have cast a higher share of early votes compared to 2024 in states like Georgia and Iowa.
- In some states without party registration, data models predict likely party support, showing more Democratic early voting.
- Early voting trends suggest higher enthusiasm among Democrats, consistent with this year’s primary elections.
- Polls show more Democrats say they are certain or enthusiastic about voting compared to Republicans.
- Republicans tend to vote more on Election Day, which may balance early voting advantages for Democrats.
- Past elections showed Democrats lead in mail ballots, while Republicans tend to lead in early in-person and Election Day votes.
- The total votes usually split fairly evenly between mail, early in-person, and Election Day votes.
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