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How Brazil's changing working class is reshaping the presidential race

How Brazil's changing working class is reshaping the presidential race

Summary

Brazil's working class is changing from mostly factory workers to many people working in services and gig jobs like food delivery. This shift is affecting the presidential race, with some voters who supported President Lula in 2022 now choosing Flávio Bolsonaro in 2024, hoping for change amid economic struggles and high prices.

Key Facts

  • The city of Osasco shifted from factories to shopping malls and tech companies, changing the type of jobs available.
  • Osasco voted for President Lula in 2022 but supported Flávio Bolsonaro in the first round of the 2024 election; the two candidates will compete in a run-off.
  • Since 1989, the candidate who wins the first round in Brazil’s presidential elections usually wins the presidency.
  • Many traditional Lula supporters, including union leaders, feel the union movement is outdated and not keeping up with changes in the workforce.
  • The working class now includes many people in the gig economy, doing jobs like driving for Uber or selling goods informally.
  • Some voters want change because they feel the economy, crime, and corruption problems remain despite Lula’s social programs.
  • Flávio Bolsonaro has promised to cut government spending and lower some taxes but keep key welfare programs.
  • Voting is mandatory in Brazil, but abstention rates were higher this election, showing some voter frustration.
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